[Actual winners in red.]
Picture
Will win: La La Land
Could win: Moonlight
Should win: Moonlight
Shoulda been a contender: Toni Erdmann
Director
Will win: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Could win: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Should win: Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Shoulda been a contender: Maren Ade, Toni Erdmann
Actor
Will win: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Could win: Denzel Washington, Fences
Should win: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Shoulda been a contender: Peter Simonischek, Toni Erdmann
Actress
Will win: Emma Stone, La La Land
Could win: Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Should win: Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Shoulda been a contender: Sonia Braga, Aquarius
Supporting Actor
Will win: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Could win: Dev Patel, Lion
Should win: Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals
Shoulda been a contender: Andre Holland, Moonlight
Supporting Actress
Will win: Viola Davis, Fences
Could win: Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
Should win: Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
Shoulda been a contender: Lily Gladstone, Certain Women
Original Screenplay
Will win: Manchester by the Sea
Could win: La La Land
Should win: Manchester by the Sea
Shoulda been a contender: Toni Erdmann
Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Moonlight
Could win: Arrival
Should win: Moonlight
Shoulda been a contender: Certain Women
Foreign Language Film
Will win: The Salesman
Could win: Toni Erdmann
Should win: Toni Erdmann
Shoulda been a contender: Sieranevada
Documentary Feature
Will win: O.J.: Made in America
Could win: Fire at Sea
Should win: I Am Not Your Negro
Shoulda been a contender: Under the Sun
Animated Feature
Will win: Zootopia
Could win: Kubo and the Two Strings
Should win: The Red Turtle
Shoulda been a contender: Sausage Party
Cinematography
Will win: La La Land
Could win: Moonlight
Should win: Moonlight
Shoulda been a contender: The Handmaiden
Editing
Will win: La La Land
Could win: Moonlight
Should win: La La Land
Shoulda been a contender: The Neon Demon
Score
Will win: La La Land
Could win: Lion
Should win: La La Land
Shoulda been a contender: Nocturnal Animals
Song
Will win: “City of Stars,” La La Land
Could win: “Audition (The Fools Who Dream),” La La Land
Should win: “Audition (The Fools Who Dream),” La La Land
Shoulda been a contender: “Drive Like You Stole It,” Sing Street
Production Design
Will win: La La Land
Could win: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Should win: La La Land
Shoulda been a contender: The Handmaiden
Costume Design
Will win: La La Land
Could win: Jackie
Should win: Jackie
Shoulda been a contender: The Handmaiden
Makeup and Hairstyling
Will win: Star Trek Beyond
Could win: Suicide Squad
Should win: Star Trek Beyond
Shoulda been a contender: The Neon Demon
Sound Editing
Will win: Hacksaw Ridge
Could win: Deepwater Horizon
Should win: Deepwater Horizon
Shoulda been a contender: Rogue One
Sound Mixing
Will win: La La Land
Could win: Arrival
Should win: La La Land
Shoulda been a contender: Moonlight
Visual Effects
Will win: The Jungle Book
Could win: Doctor Strange
Should win: Doctor Strange
Shoulda been a contender: Hardcore Henry
Animated Short
Will win: Piper
Could win: Blind Vaysha
Live Action Short
Will win: Sing
Could win: Enemies Within
Documentary Short Subject
Will win: The White Helmets
Could win: Joe’s Violin